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Política Nacional / 09/07/2021

BRAZIL POTITIC NEWS

Datafolha: Lula extends advantage over Bolsonaro and scores 58% to 31% in 2nd round

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Datafolha: Lula extends advantage over Bolsonaro and scores 58% to 31% in 2nd round


Voting intention poll shows Lula with 46% and Bolsonaro with 25% in the first round

A survey by the Datafolha Institute released this Friday (09) points out that former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) increased his advantage over President Jair Bolsonaro (no party) in voting intentions for the 2022 elections.

Lula leads in the two scenarios evaluated by the survey. The margin of error is two percentage points, plus or minus. 2,074 people were interviewed between the 7th and 8th of July, in person.

In both scenarios, Lula appears with 46% of voting intentions, against 25% for Bolsonaro. See the two simulations of voting intention for the first round: one with the governor of SP, João Doria (PSDB-SP); the other with the governor of RS, Eduardo Leite (PSDB-RS):

SCENARIO A

Lula (PT): 46%

Jair Bolsonaro (no party): 25%

Ciro Gomes (PDT): 8%

João Doria (PSDB): 5%

Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM): 4%

Blank/null/none: 10%

Doesn't know: 2%

SCENARIO B

Lula (PT): 46%

Jair Bolsonaro (no party): 25%

Ciro Gomes (PDT): 9%

Luiz Henrique Mandetta (DEM): 5%

Eduardo Leite (PSDB): 3%

Blank/null/none: 10%

Doesn't know: 2%

In the voting intention polls for the second round, Lula would win Bolsonaro with 58%; the president appears with 31%; whites and nulls add up to 10%, and 1% was unable to answer.

The PoderData/Band poll released on Wednesday also points to Lula's leadership over Bolsonaro in voting intentions. Bolsonaro's disapproval also rose, according to the survey.

rejection index

Bolsonaro leads the rejection rates among potential candidates in the 2022 presidential elections. Respondents could choose more than one option:

Bolsonaro: 59%

Lula: 37%

Doria: 37%

Ciro: 31%

Mandetta: 23%

Eduardo Leite: 21%

Reject all/would not vote for any: 2%

Vote for anyone/does not reject any: 2%

Doesn't know: 1%


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